Tuesday, November 04, 2008

Early voting


Sean Quinn over at 538 is summing up the early voting numbers. The total number of early votes isn't that remarkable really, except in a few states which he rightly points out. Florida, Georgia, New Mexico, Colorado and Nevada.
All Bush states with Obama ahead in the polls (except for Georgia, which is being tipped by some as the big surprise). And *massive* early voting numbers.
The breakdown per state at the Early Voting Project site is very interesting. There, the per state variance with 2004 can be seen. Again, possible Obama states like Indiana and Montana show a large increase in turnout. (and it's still amazing that Montana might vote for Obama!) Arizona, in contrast, has a huge drop in numbers - which conversely might also help Obama, as this is America's second retirement state (after Florida) and the early vote there would traditionally be expected to be pro-McCain retirees.
Lastly here for the Early Voting polls. Suggests an absolute landslide. There might be only Kentucky and Idaho going for McCain! We'll see as the first results come ina few minutes...