Storm blog

When the kids are older and I have more money, I'm gonna go do a little storm chasing. In the meantime, I think it's important because it's the most visible indicator of Climate Change. (NB: I don't say Global Warming, as that's a misnomer. We don't actually know what the change will be, because we understand so little of the system. Similarily, we don't know what impact humans are having on the system. Which is why it's accurately called an uncontrolled experiment.)
And, primarily because of language and culture, the Atlantic Hurricane season is the one I'm most familiar with. There is, with us wanting to move to La Gomera, even the chance that we're going to be impacted by it in the future. So that's what I watch most carefully.
The first storm looks to be brewing in the West Caribbean, the place that Wilma and Stan came from last year. Which is bad news, cos the SSTs over the Gulf are much warmer than over the West Atlantic. Current forecasts are for a storm - strength unknown, of course - to hit between the Panhandle and Tampa. (The Tampa forecast is from GFS, normally one of the most reliable global models, but then yesterday it had it going into North Mexico, so that shows what we really know.)
And it's *real* fucking early for a storm with this potential to be developing.
Beautiful hot, going tropical, weather here in Northern Europe too this coming week. The only week we had like this last year was the last week in August. My birthday then - and Katrina.